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Expected Value Calculator

The average return on a ticket. For lottery games this is essentially always negative — you can expect to lose money on average.

Ticket details

Draw-style games only (choose distinct numbers from a pool). This models the jackpot tier only; smaller fixed prizes raise the gross figure slightly but do not change the conclusion.

Powerball expected value

Net expected value per ticket

Gross expected return minus the ticket price.

-$0.00
Gross expected value

Probability-weighted return before the ticket cost.

$0.02
Jackpot probability

Chance of matching every number on one ticket.

3.42e-9

You can expect to lose about $0.00 per ticket on average.

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